US Senate votes to advance Trump nominee Clayton to be top US spy
Jay Clayton, often in circuitous fashion, avoided saying Joe Biden won 2020 race against Donald Trump during his US Senate confirmation hearing.
Markets
Germany: Recovery potential versus energy drag – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Jörg Krämer argues that high energy prices will continue to weigh on the German economy in the second half of 2026, limiting full-year growth to 0.6%. He notes that the strong Ifo business climate read…
Forex Today: US Dollar softens as Oil plunges on Middle East pause
The US Dollar (USD) traded mostly unchanged on Monday as a temporary pause in hostilities between the United States and Iran reduces demand for safe-haven assets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded lower earlier in the se…
The Dow Jones Industrial Average buys a peace nobody has signed, and the chips take it back
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 52,200, up around 250 points, on Monday after a session that handed it the month's cleanest bullish catalyst and then took most of it back. The peace bid carried the i…
Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and s…
Gold rises toward $4,070 as falling US yields support Bullion
Gold price registers gains of 0.58% as Washington pauses attacks on Tehran, while US President Donald Trump opened the door for a resumption in negotiations. This, along with falling US Treasury yields, is a tailwind fo…
Euro flat after losing early gains on Monday
EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Monday, surrendering earlier gains as investors remain cautious ahead of key Eurozone growth figures and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy decision.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook remains constructive above 1.4000
USD/CAD edges higher on Monday, paring earlier losses as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds after opening the week with a bearish gap. The Greenback initially weakened as a temporary pause in attacks between the United States…
Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and s…
Japanese Yen: BoJ tightening yet weaker JPY against US Dollar – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas strategists see Japan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowing to 0.8% in 2026 from 1.1% in 2025 as higher inflation and energy-related costs weigh on activity, partly offset by fiscal support and AI (A…
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Range holds as intervention fears bite
The EUR/JPY holds firm around 163.70 on Monday as the Japanese Yen strengthens, with investors cautious about opening fresh hawkish bets amid fears of intervention in the foreign exchange market.
WTI Oil drops more than 7% as US, Iran pause strikes
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil extends its decline on Monday, trading around $82.60 per barrel at the time of writing, down 7.4% on the day. Crude Oil opened the week with a sharp bearish gap after the United Stat…
Silver Price Forecast: Could Fed decision trigger a break from $55-$62 range?
Silver (XAG/USD) reverses part of its earlier gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds after opening the week with a bearish gap following a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran.
Euro: Recovery signals offer limited upside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Eurozone leading indicators, including Germany’s IFO, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and ZEW, point to improving activity. With inflation still above target, Had…
British Pound loses ground against Japanese Yen ahead of central bank decisions
GBP/JPY edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) weakens across the board following its recent advance, with traders trimming exposure ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest-rate decision on Thursday. At …
Bank of England: Higher bar seen for rate hikes - ING
ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England to keep rates on hold on 30 July and sees a prolonged pause extending through 2026. New forecasts are likely to show UK inflation peaking near 3%, below the 4% level seen as…
British Pound tumbles as risk-off mood boosts the US Dollar
The Pound Sterling retreats by 0.13% even though the Greenback is flat during the day. Risk appetite shifted sour on news that a Chinese state-backed company is producing chipmaking machines, prompting a sell-off in ASM…
Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB
UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with…
Swiss Franc slips against the US Dollar on diverging monetary policy expectations
USD/CHF climbs to fresh highs since June 2025 on Monday after Bloomberg reported that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) could keep its policy rate at zero until the end of 2027. The SNB later declined to comment on the repo…
Japanese Yen firms as easing tensions weigh on USD before Fed, BoJ
USD/JPY edges lower on Monday and trades around 163.70 at the time of writing, down 0.09% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) comes under pressure from improving risk sentiment following the latest geopolitical developme…
United States Durable Goods Orders rise 0.3% in June vs. 1.6% expected
New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May …
Australian Dollar retreats from intraday gains ahead of Australian CPI and Fed decision
AUD/USD retreats to 0.6990 on Monday, though still up on Friday's close, after briefly rising as high as 0.7011 during the Asian session as investors prepare for key Australian inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s i…
Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions. He argues the easing cycle suggests politi…
Oil: Lower prices ease inflation risks – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that easing Oil prices, helped by reduced Iran–US tensions, are bringing crude closer to their base case of a gradual downtrend. They argue lower Oil should relieve inflati…