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Sunday, 18 October 2026

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Mexican Peso refreshes multi-month highs, Banxico minutes eyed

USD/MXN refreshed 24-month lows below 17.00 on Friday, but it has recovered some ground, with buyers stepping in and reclaiming the 17.00 level. Data from the United States (US) weighed on the Greenback, as consumer sen…

Chinese Yuan: Activity data and PBOC stance guide FX – MUFG

MUFG’s Asia FX Weekly highlights that China’s July activity indicators, following weak Q2 GDP, will be central for the Chinese Yuan and regional FX. The authors stress ongoing weakness in fixed asset investment and prop…

Indonesia: Policy continuity supports Rupiah – ING

ING’s Lynn Song expects Bank Indonesia to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 5.75% this week, prioritizing Rupiah stability while avoiding an immediate hike. The report highlights BI’s growing reliance on non-rate too…

Japanese Yen holds as soft US data meets a weak Yen

USD/JPY is holding near 159.40 at the time of writing, with little change on the day. A weak United States (US) Consumer Sentiment reading nudged the Dollar lower, but the pair has stayed close to where it started.

Canada: Core softness guides BoC path – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Robert Both expects Canadian headline CPI to rise to 2.9% year-on-year in July, driven by higher gasoline and food prices, while ex. food/energy components stay muted. Core measures CPI-trim and CPI-media…

British Pound advances as weak US sales deepen USD slide

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by some 0.40% on Friday as a batch of US data supports a Federal Reserve (Fed) dovish stance, with consumer sentiment deteriorating while the disinflation process showed further progress. …

US Dollar: Data-driven outlook in focus – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee note that upcoming US economic data will be crucial for the US Dollar outlook. They highlight that softer PPI and labour market figures have trimmed near-t…

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bears target the 200-day SMA

USD/CAD extends its decline farther below 1.4000 on Friday and heads for a third consecutive weekly loss. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3877, at levels last seen in early July.

US Dollar: Looking for a shift in Fedspeak – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that post-CPI summer conditions are suppressing FX volatility and keeping the Dollar broadly stable. They still see scope for a weaker Dollar as…

Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option open – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Elwin de Groot reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left rates unchanged, with markets initially reading the statement as dovish. Governor Bullock later pushed back, revealing the Board d…

Silver regains ground above $64 as Fed rate hike bets fade

Silver (XAG/USD) gains 0.37% on Friday and trades around $64.70 at the time of writing, erasing part of its recent correction. The precious metal benefits from easing expectations of monetary tightening in the United St…

Federal Reserve: RMP pause and QT timing – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks analyze the Federal Reserve’s decision to halt Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) after tapering from $40bn to $10bn per month. They argue the pause reflects soft money …

EUR/USD Starting to Look Cheap

EURUSD EUR/USD is starting to sketch out something interesting on the weekly chart - a potential Head and Shoulders reversal pattern. This is one of those classic setups traders love, but here’s the catch: it’s not conf…