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Sunday, 18 October 2026

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Economy

Gold eyes weekly gain, but hawkish Fed outlook limits upside

Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to move above the $4,400 level on Friday as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish policy outlook keeps the US Dollar (USD) firmly bid. Still, the metal is on track for its first weekly gain in thr…

Japanese Yen: Dovish BoJ hike keeps Yen vulnerable – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that the Bank of Japan delivered a 25bp hike to 1.25% in a split decision, acknowledging persistent inflation risks but with notable dissent. The Yen weakened after the dovish statement,…

UK retail sales rebound in August as department stores recover

UK retail sales volumes rose 0.5% mom in August, reversing July’s unrevised 0.5% decline and beating expectations for a 0.3% contraction. Annual growth accelerated from a downwardly revised 1.2% to 2.4%, above the 1.9% …

The Fed Hikes: 7 Key FAQs on Rates and What Comes Next

The government reported that, in August, the CPI was up 3.4% from a year earlier, which was the same level as July. The annual rate of inflation has exceeded 3.3% every month since the Middle East conflict began—a level…

ECB Consumer Expectations Survey results – August 2026

In August the median rate of perceived inflation over the previous 12 months was 3.5%, the same as in July. Median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months increased to 3.0% from 2.9% in July, while median exp…

FX Outlook: Bank of Japan Plays Catch-Up with the Fed

Based on today’s trading level, EUR/USD would gain 13.5% this year if we are to close at around today’s level, the biggest annual increase since 2017 – coincidentally also the first year of Trump’s first term in office.…

Moody’s hikes India fiscal 2027 GDP forecast to 7%

The upgrade, announced in Moody’s periodic review of India on Friday, was driven by stronger private consumption, robust gross fixed capital formation, continued public infrastructure spending, signs of a revival in pri…

British Pound: Downside risk extends toward 1.3300 – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang highlights that GBP/USD remains under pressure after four consecutive daily declines, though short-term momentum has not intensified. Intraday, the British Pound (GBP) is expe…

Rates Outlook: Global Long-End Gets Some Relief From the BoE

The BoE today updated its approach to shrinking its balance sheet and the result today is a further drop in gilt yields with the 10 yr yield now down 8.5 bps. They will halt for the next 6 months its asset sales and thi…

Boris Vujčić: Interview with Reuters

We are speaking less than a week after the ECB’s latest projections were published, and energy prices have already moved well above the baseline. How does this affect your outlook for inflation and growth?