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Sunday, 16 August 2026

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Economy

Bank of England: Higher bar seen for rate hikes - ING

ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England to keep rates on hold on 30 July and sees a prolonged pause extending through 2026. New forecasts are likely to show UK inflation peaking near 3%, below the 4% level seen as…

British Pound tumbles as risk-off mood boosts the US Dollar

The Pound Sterling retreats by 0.13% even though the Greenback is flat during the day. Risk appetite shifted sour on news that a Chinese state-backed company is producing chipmaking machines, prompting a sell-off in ASM…

Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB

UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with…

Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions. He argues the easing cycle suggests politi…

Oil: Lower prices ease inflation risks – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that easing Oil prices, helped by reduced Iran–US tensions, are bringing crude closer to their base case of a gradual downtrend. They argue lower Oil should relieve inflati…

US Dollar: Fed uncertainty tempers USD strength – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar has softened as Middle East tensions ease and Brent Oil retreats below USD90, reducing energy-driven inflation fears. The correction in energy prices has slightly lowered market-im…